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国际海上保险市场因中东战事面临高额赔付_我的网站
一 | 伦敦8月12日电（记者高文成 张枫）据英国航运媒体《劳埃德船舶日报》12日报道，国际海上保险联盟预计，自今年2月底中东战事爆发以来，约70起相关事故导致海上保险商面临赔付金额达15亿至20亿美元。 TOKYO -- The Japanese branch of the Unification Church on Monday criticized the Japanese government's request for a court order to dissolve the group, saying it's based on groundless accusations and is a serious threat to religious freedom and human rights of its followers. Japan’s Education Ministry on Friday asked the Tokyo District Court to revoke the legal status of the Unification Church after a ministry investigation concluded the group for decades has systematically manipulated its followers into donating money, sowing fear and harming their families.The investigation followed months of public outrage and questions about the group’s fundraising and recruitment tactics after former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s assassination last year. The man accused of shooting Abe allegedly was motivated by the former prime minister’s links to the church and blamed it for bankrupting his family.The government's request is “extremely disappointing and regrettable,” said the church's legal affairs department chief, Nobuo Okamura. “We believe the request for a dissolution order is a serious development not only for freedom of religion but also human rights."The request asks the court to issue a dissolution order revoking the church’s status as a religious organization. The process involves hearings and appeals from both sides and would take months or possibly years.A church lawyer, Nobuya Fukumoto, criticized the government for not specifying which law the group violated, and vowed to thoroughly fight it in court. If the church is stripped of its legal status, it could still operate but would lose its tax exemption privilege as a religious organization and would face financial setbacks. Some experts and lawyers supporting the victims have cautioned against an attempt by the church to hide its assets before a court decision. The church worries that the rare dissolution request hurts its image, said Susumu Sato, spokesperson for the group, which officially calls itself the Family Federation for World Peace and Unification. Church officials said followers and their families have been harassed at work and school. Decades of cozy ties between the church and Japan’s governing Liberal Democratic Party were revealed since Abe’s assassination and have eroded support for Prime Minister Fumio Kishida’s government. The Unification Church obtained legal status as a religious organization in Japan in the 1960s during an anti-communist movement that was supported by Abe’s grandfather, former Prime Minister Nobusuke Kishi.The church has acknowledged excessive donations but says the problem has been mitigated for more than a decade. It also has pledged further reforms.Experts say Japanese followers are asked to pay for sins committed by their ancestors during Japan’s 1910-1945 colonial rule of the Korean Peninsula, and that the majority of the church’s worldwide funding comes from Japan.The only other religious organizations whose status was revoked are the Aum Shinrikyo doomsday cult, which carried out a sarin nerve gas attack on the Tokyo subway in 1995, and the Myokakuji group, whose executives were convicted of fraud.。 国际海上保险联盟总干事拉尔斯·朗格表示，目前的赔付估算包括船体损坏及停租等经济损失，相关赔款尚未实际支付，但按照目前掌握的信息，保险市场面临的整体赔付规模约为15亿至20亿美元。
二 | 朗格警告说，随着战事持续，保险业越来越担心另一项潜在风险，即如果大批船舶长期滞留，在连续12个月无法投入运营后，相关保险合同可能触发全损赔付条款，涉及船舶数量或达数百艘，未来赔付规模可能进一步扩大。 报道称，霍尔木兹海峡危机、红海地区袭船事件以及俄乌冲突等因素，正在对航运和海上保险市场形成叠加影响。业内人士认为，战事风险增加、航运受阻以及全球主要航运通道面临的不确定性，已开始向更广泛的供应链传导。 朗格说，包括霍尔木兹海峡在内的高风险航线目前仍可获得保险保障，“但需要相应的价格和条件”。市场普遍认为，在看不到和平解决迹象的情况下，保费进一步上涨几乎难以避免。
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